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Middle East 1 min read

Why oil prices haven't gone crazy despite 5 months of US-Iran war

Source: Reuters::
The price of gasoline is displayed at a gas station near the highway in Encinitas, California, U.S., April 30, 2026. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
The price of gasoline is displayed at a gas station near the highway in Encinitas, California, U.S., April 30, 2026. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
  • China sharply cut crude imports and demand, reducing pressure on global oil markets
  • U.S. boosted output and released Strategic Petroleum Reserve crude
  • June reopening of Strait of Hormuz eased immediate supply fears
July 20 (Reuters) - As the United States and Israel went to war with Iran at the end of ​February, analysts predicted the price of crude oil could hit $150 a barrel or even rise as far as $200, with the fifth ‌of global supply that transits the vital Strait of Hormuz suddenly cut off from world markets.
But, Brent crude futures peaked around $126 - comfortably below 2008's all-time high of $147 - and averaged just $101 a barrel between the start of the conflict on February 28 and June 11 when U.S. President Donald Trump called off strikes on Iran, before ​briefly retreating to pre-war levels of $70 in early July.

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Below are some of the reasons why the oil price hasn't gone crazy. ​Yet.
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